Midterm Vol Stays Muted as Prediction Markets, Single Stock Calls Gain Traction

Investors are pricing in only a slight bump in S&P 500 volatility ahead of the 2026 U.S. midterm elections, as a wave of single stock call buying and a dense corporate earnings calendar overshadow political risk.

This independent content is made possible by Cboe Global Markets.
Charles Ayitey
Charles Ayitey, reporter
SEP 30, 2026

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